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Looking into the Future: Without Fear or Favor

Like many industries, healthcare is riddled with group think and “trends” that don’t materialize. Billions of dollars and, more important, irreplaceably scarce professional and managerial time and effort are wasted chasing opportunities that are really not opportunities at all. Jeff Goldsmith is a powerful antidote to group think. No-one can predict the future with unerring accuracy. But with more than thirty years of experience spanning all the major sectors of the health field, Jeff can help sort the trivial from the significant, and explain in English where the real opportunities and challenges lie- without fear or favor.

Jeff Goldsmith

Health Futures was founded in 1982 by Jeff Goldsmith. Jeff Goldsmith is one of the nation's foremost health industry analysts, specializing in corporate strategy, trend analysis, health policy and emerging technologies. He has worked across the health system- hospitals, health plans, physician groups, pharmaceutical, biotechnology and health manufacturing and distribution sectors- advising senior management and Boards. Health Futures also helps guide venture and private equity investment in emerging technologies. Jeff Goldsmith writes and lectures actively on health policy, financing and technology, both in the United States and overseas. You can find an active archive of his writings and topics in this site.

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Wounded Bears are Dangerous

This Wall Street Journal article suggests that the collapse of oil prices and western sanctions over Russia’s not-so-stealthy invasion of Ukraine could collapse the Russian economy.  http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2014/12/16/russias-economic-pain-is-just-beginning-bank-group-warns/?mod=trending_now_3

It goes on to speculate that Russia might sue for peace in Ukraine to end the anguish and restore capital flows.   That’s a possibility.  But consider the alternative possibility that Russia’s leadership escalates its confrontation with the West to continue the narrative that Russia’s deepening problems are the product of a US conspiracy to destroy the country.  

Russian aircraft have been sent over US territory and have patrolled the crowded airspace over the Baltic Sea with their transponders turned off, almost guaranteeing a future incident.  After the tepid western response to the downing of Malaysia Air’s Flight 17 by pro-Russian Ukrainian rebels, Vladimir Putin may conclude that the price of overt belligerence is low enough given the circumstances to take aggressive action. 

Russia has the world’s second largest nuclear arsenal.   It’s worth reflecting that with the value of its principal exports plummeting, its leadership may not feel it has a lot to lose by provoking a war with the West.  Vladimir Putin has a 70-+% approval rating with the Russian people, who believe his narrative that Russian is a victim, not a villain. 

Google the term: “wounded bear” and read the returns.   

Date: 12.17.14   Time: 11:37 AM

Recent Keynote Engagements

  • United Healthcare
  • Spectrum Health
  • The Doctor’s Company
  • Academy of Managed Care Pharmacy
  • Sheridan Healthcare
  • Maine Health
  • Virginia Health and Hospitals Association
  • Baptist Health, Jacksonville, FL
  • California Medical Association
  • St. Clair Hospital
  • Federation of American Hospitals
  • DaVita
  • California Association of Physician Groups
  • Providence Health-Anchorage
  • CR Bard

Healthcare Reform Chronicles

Jeff Goldsmith has introduced The Health Reform Chronicles to help you find his blog postings on Healthcare Reform.