Health Futures was founded in 1982 by Jeff Goldsmith. Jeff Goldsmith is one of the nation's foremost health industry analysts, specializing in corporate strategy, trend analysis, health policy and emerging technologies. He has worked across the health system- hospitals, health plans, physician groups, pharmaceutical, biotechnology and health manufacturing and distribution sectors- advising senior management and Boards. Health Futures also helps guide venture and private equity investment in emerging technologies. Jeff Goldsmith writes and lectures actively on health policy, financing and technology, both in the United States and overseas. You can find an active archive of his writings and lecture topics in this site.
Join the Debate about Accountable Care, and link to the Wall Street Journal’s feature in this morning’s Electronic Edition
A major feature of health reform is the Medicare Shared Savings Program, which uses Accountable Care Organizations (ACO’s) to save money. Learn about this emerging idea, and why it probably isn’t going to work. See the online debate featuring Jeff Goldsmith with two respected former Administrators of the Medicare Program, Dr. Donald Berwick and Thomas Scully in the January 23, 2012 Wall Street Journal. See also Jeff’s face to face debate on ACO’s with Dr. Timothy Ferris of the Massachusetts General Hospital in Boston on this hot topic (and link to the Gallery item).
China’s New First Couple
This WSJ piece profiles the presumptive next leader of China, XI Jinping. http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052970204573704577186992329708730.html Among other things, we learn that his father was purged by Mao, and that Xi spent his teenage years living in a cave during the Cultural Revolution acquiring proletarian values (and learning to master his resentments). Deng Xiaoping rehabilitated his father, who eventually helped launch China’s economic revolution in the first “Special Economic Zone” in Guangzhou.
Unlike China’s colorless present leadership, who are engineers, Xi was a biochemist (which means that he’s probably smarter), and married a glamorous Chinese singer, who is also a Major General in the Peoples Liberation Army (!!), Peng Liyuan. His last posting before being sent to Beijing was as party boss in one of China’s most freewheeling coastal provinces, Zhejiang Province, where he presided over an explosive economic expansion. This is a formidable person with broad bandwidth, charisma and intelligence.
No-one has the faintest idea of how Xi will govern,and how he will deal with the volcanic instability of China’s economic growth and its political consequences. It is hard to imagine Xi leading a crackdown on entrepreneurs (since he himself was jailed three times during the Cultural Revolution). He might be just the person to crack down, however, on local party corruption which has damaged the legitimacy of the Party.
While we decide which moderate technocrat will lead the US for the next four years, China appears to be leaning forward. Xi visits the US on February 15.
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Date: 01.31.12 Time: 11:57 AM
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Death of Bipartisanship in Washington?
This POLITICO article highlights a prominent Washington meme, which is that there is declining popular support for bipartisan solutions to national problems, and that people want government control unified under one political party. http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0112/72132.html The authors cite Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel, a ruthlessly efficient partisan warrior when he was in Congress, “We need to take on the mythology that divided government produces progress. Divided government produces divided government.”
With respect to da Mare, our last two experiences with unified government (during George W Bush’s first term and the first two years of Obama) produced, respectively, the Iraq War and a deeply unpopular Health Reform law. The controlling parties were decisively repudiated in subsequent Congressional elections. While it is rhetorically satisfying to push for political hegemony, it is precisely the attempt by these two intellectually bankrupt parties to aggrandize political power that so infuriates an electorate nearly forty percent of whom are neither Republican nor Democrat but independent. These two minority parties are turning off the nation, not mobilizing it.
Where do we get solutions to our pressing national problems (an unsustainable deficit, a looming entitlement crisis, underinvestment in infrastructure, etc.) when, as seems highly likely, 2012 returns a divided government to Washington? Wait for 2014 or 2016?
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Date: 01.30.12 Time: 03:52 PM
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Where Was This Photo Taken?
Tehran? Moscow? Cairo?
Nope, it was downtown Oakland Saturday night. Angry Occupy Oakland protesters broke into City Hall, trashed a YMCA (??), skirmished with the local authorities, and burned an American flag. Four hundred were arrested.
WTF??
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Date: 01.30.12 Time: 12:17 PM
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Recent Keynote Engagements
- Texas Medical Association
- Trizetto
- Thomson Reuters
- Catholic Health East
- William Beaumont Hospitals
- Association of American Medical Colleges
- Federation of American Hospitals
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Medline Industries
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Florida Hospital Association
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Vanguard Health Systems
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Harvard Business Review
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American College of Radiology
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Health 2.0
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America’s Health Insurance Plans
Jeff Goldsmith and Bruce Hillman's The Sorcerer’s Apprentice: How Medical Imaging is Reshaping Health Care (Oxford U Press, 2011) is an inside look at one of medicine's most successful "tribes" and the technology they've built to look inside our bodies Where is radiology heading and how can it benefit society?. Order at Amazon.

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